Independent Candidates Unlikely to Succeed, Analyst Says ({{commentsTotal}})

Indrek Tarand
Indrek Tarand Source: (Postimees/Scanpix)

The political parties are more likely to succeed in the European elections than the independent candidates because they lack a strong message, political scientist Tõnis Saarts said.

According to Saarts, people may vote for independents but the votes will be distributed between a few stronger candidates.

The success of Indrek Tarand, who ran as an independent candidate in 2009 and raked in more than 102,000 votes, is an exception to the rule, although it is not impossible that an independent is voted in, Saarts told ETV on Monday.

Tarand was successful thanks to his protest against closed lists of candidates that made the voters rally behind him, while none of the current candidates have such a forceful message. The current independent candidates are also not as visible in their campaign as Tarand was.

According to Saarts, the elections have generally sparked little enthusiasm. The turnout in 2009 was nearly 44 percent, however, in 2004, it was a mere 27 percent.