Khodorkovsky: Putin can start next big war in Ukraine, Baltics or Middle East ({{commentsTotal}})

Former oligarch and political prisoner Mikhail Khodorkovsky said there are three regions where Russia can start a full-blown war – Ukraine, the Baltic states or in the Middle East.

“Continuing the land forces operation in Ukraine is the most likely scenario. Something in the Baltic states where provocations, pressure and accusations continue. Or thirdly, the Middle East, which is always a back-up,” Khodorkovsky told Russian media outlet Sobesednik in an interview.

“The reason is that (Russian President Vladimir) Putin is currently unpredictable, irrational and can hardly handle himself. He lives in another reality – not in an economic or political reality, but in a religious world. He believes he is a post-US world conqueror. If he feels he has no other options to stay in power other than war, then war becomes likely,” he said.

Khodorkovsky said Russia exists in 15-16-year cycles. “In my opinion, Putin's cycle may end at the end of 2015,” adding that this may not mean he steps down from power. He said Putin may go on to win the 2018 presidential elections and then step down a year later.

He said the longer Putin stays in power the bigger the threat that Russia splits up, as problems keep mounting and older problems are left unsolved.

Editor: J.M. Laats

Easter Monday a public holiday? But you're forgetting productionEaster Monday a public holiday? But you're forgetting production
Estonia’s Easter Monday time loop: Discussing an additional day off

Every year, Estonia reliably asks itself the question whether or not Easter Monday should be made a public holiday. Opinions differ. While one side emphasizes the importance of family time, the other thinks an additional day off would threaten economic growth.

Minister of Social Protection Kaia Iva (IRL).Minister of Social Protection Kaia Iva (IRL).
Samost: Kaia Iva’s charisma could help IRL out of long-term low

In Sunday’s “Samost ja Rumm” radio debate show, editor-in-chief of ERR’s online news, Anvar Samost, and journalist and former politician Hannes Rumm discussed the potential and actual candidates for the chairmanship of the Pro Patria and Res Publica Union (IRL). At the time of the broadcast, Helir-Valdor Seeder had not yet made his intention to run public.