Estonian Information Board presents first public threat assessment ({{commentsTotal}})

The Estonian Information Board (EIB) presented its “International Security and Estonia” report on Wednesday, the first time the Information Board ever made the results of its work public.

The 48-page report was divided into two main parts. The first was on Russia, the second on various threats.


The first part of the report described Russia as an unpredictable and complicated neighbor. The EIB’s analysis saw the country remain the biggest threat to security in the Baltic in the near future, and pointed out that “Russia’s disagreement with the West, growing voluntary isolation, and unpredictable and aggressive actions in executing its plans” had a profoundly negative effect on it.

The report didn't rule out a Russian attack on the Baltic countries, but stated that Russia’s military capability remained “unbalanced.” It saw NATO’s effort to deter Russian aggression as a success in that it lowered the risk of direct military threats to Estonia.

The second part of the report commented on Islamic terrorism, saying that the current wave of Islamic terrorism was the worst the world had encountered. Though international terrorism wasn’t a direct threat to Estonia, the Information Board still considered it a threat to Estonian citizens abroad.

Other threats

The EIB expected the movement of refugees towards the European Union to continue, quoting the security situation in the countries in the Mid-East as a reason. The popularity of far-right and nationalist movements in the EU of recent months was used very skilfully by Russia to achieve its foreign policy aims, the report said.

Another threat the report identified was the possibility of cyberattacks. These attacks, directed at critical infrastructure, presented a cheap and effective way to destabilize a country, the report said. It pointed out that the line between activists, criminals, and state-paid hackers were getting increasingly blurry.

Background of the report

The EIB decided to prepare a first report after the events in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine opened up the Estonian public sphere to fear mongering, half-truths and sensationalism, said its Director General Mikk Marran.

Marran stressed that politics and influencing the course of the state’s policies wasn’t the Information Board’s task. He described the EIB's main purpose as making sure that the government had the best threat assessments it could get.

The report didn't touch on otherwise confidential information, and was written for public use, Marran said.

Editor: Editor: Dario Cavegn

Easter Monday a public holiday? But you're forgetting productionEaster Monday a public holiday? But you're forgetting production
Estonia’s Easter Monday time loop: Discussing an additional day off

Every year, Estonia reliably asks itself the question whether or not Easter Monday should be made a public holiday. Opinions differ. While one side emphasizes the importance of family time, the other thinks an additional day off would threaten economic growth.

Minister of Social Protection Kaia Iva (IRL).Minister of Social Protection Kaia Iva (IRL).
Samost: Kaia Iva’s charisma could help IRL out of long-term low

In Sunday’s “Samost ja Rumm” radio debate show, editor-in-chief of ERR’s online news, Anvar Samost, and journalist and former politician Hannes Rumm discussed the potential and actual candidates for the chairmanship of the Pro Patria and Res Publica Union (IRL). At the time of the broadcast, Helir-Valdor Seeder had not yet made his intention to run public.