Young, Highly Educated, Ethnic Estonians Hold Swing Vote in Tallinn
While fresh polls from TNS Emor show that the ruling Center Party still leads the popularity charts in Tallinn, a full 10 percent of respondents said they will vote, but have yet to decide on a party or candidate.
Emor's analyst Aivar Voog told uudised.err.ee today that, in the usual scenario, people with a lower level of income and education are the likeliest to wait until the last minute to make up their minds, but the situation in Tallinn is reversed.
Voog said that the hesitant 10 percent group is dominated Estonian-speaking young people with a higher level of education and income.
The poll showed that voter turnout could be up to 70 percent, far higher than the 65.7 percent recorded during the last local elections four years ago.
According to the poll, 50-51 percent of those with a clear preference will vote for the Center Party. IRL is second with 20 percent support, followed by the Social Democrats (15 percent), the Reform Party (8 percent) and the four election coalitions (7 percent).