Last Look at the Polls (1)

10/18/2013 9:07 AM
Category: Politics

Here are a few graphic views of the situation going into Election Day on Sunday. 

We're also continuing to keep our "full coverage" page updated, with links to all of the election stories and additional posts that didn't merit a full story.  

Barring a huge surprise, the ERR/TNS Emor polls show that nationwide, things are shaping up to be a rerun of the last local election in 2009. In fact, they're even similar to the 2005 results (not shown here), with the only long-term trends being that the Reform Party is polling consistently lower than it used to in its salad days and the People's Union, which got over 10 percent in 2005, is now defunct.  

 

Below are the trends over the last six or so months, which have seen IRL come storming back from the brink of irrelevance. The Social Democrats are no longer riding their Charter 12-period crest, but it remains to be seen whether the dip in their numbers is a long-term trend.   

In Tallinn, support for Center is also constant, as it was long before the last two months shown in the following data from TNS Emor. The Social Democrats are showing no signs of waning in the capital, either:

 

 

And on an individual candidate basis, Center's Savisaar also maintains a comfortable lead over IRL's Kross in the mayoral race in Tallinn. 


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