Former member of the EU representation in China and current Kuressaare Mayor Hannes Hanso said a collapse of North Korea is in no one's interest.
China does not want the wave of refugees, if North Korea collapsed, Hanso, an Asia expert by training, said on ETV on Tuesday.
China would then border a united Korea, he said, meaning US troops will be stationed near Chinese borders. Currently all communication and trade from North Korea goes through China.
Japan would gain a powerful rival in the regions, if the two Koreas where to merge, while the US has better arguments in keeping troops in South Korea and Japan if there is a real threat like North Korea, around, he said.
“Everyone needs the state in its current format, no party wants to see a radical collapse and that is the reason why the nation has managed to survive – everyone fears the aftermath,” he said.
South Koreans themselves are also negative, as North Korea would become their dependent, he said, adding that the merger of the two Germanys is still felt, but unlike Germany, where the people had a similar culture, North Koreans are very far from South Koreans and those who have fled the north have had serious difficulties adapting to the free world. “They do not know how to make their own decisions. To get them to once again think and work for themselves is a very difficult task.”
He said there was hope when the Kim Jong-un came to power, after his father, Kim Jong-Il passed away in 2011, but change is suicide in the country and when it falls, it will fall hard.
Corruption among the elite and police is growing, Hanso said, which is the first sign of the system beginning to crumble internally. The North Koreans themselves are increasingly in touch with the outside world, through mobile phones and DVDs.