Support for the opposition Conservative People's Party of Estonia (EKRE) grew to 18%, while support for the two most popular parties, the opposition Reform and coalition Centre Party tied up again in June, it appears from the results of the nationwide survey commissioned by ERR's online news portal and conducted by Turu-uuringute AS.
If Riigikogu elections were to take place tomorrow, 28% percent of voters would vote for the Reform Party, while 27% would vote for the Centre Party.
Kaja Kallas was elected chairwoman of the Reform Party in April, as a result of which support for the party jumped to 33%. Since then, however, support for the popular opposition party has slowly waned again, to 30% in May and 28% in June.
Support for the Centre Party, meanwhile, has remained stable: at 27% in January and February, 26% from March through May, and 27% once again in June.
EKRE, meanwhile, has secured its position as third most popular party in Estonia, with support for it growing from 12% in January up to a new all-time high of 18% in June.
Support for the coalition Social Democratic Party (SDE), meanwhile, remained stable at 9%, while the coalition Pro Patria Party just barely met the election threshold of 5%.
Both the opposition Free Party as well as the non-parliamentary Estonian Greens remain below the election threshold at 4% and 2%, respectively.
Support for the government coalition totaled 41% in June, while support for the opposition totaled 50%, up from 40% and 48%, respectively, in May.
For the survey, Turu-uuringute AS polled 1,002 Estonian residents between 29 May and 11 June. The results of the survey represent those respondents who expressed a political preference. The margin of error of the survey according to the pollster is ±3.1 percent per 1,000 respondents.
Kivirähk: Novelty of new Reform chair wearing off
According to Turu-uuringute AS research director Juhan Kivirähk, the novelty and charm of high expectations in connection with the election of a new chairwoman by the Reform party has worn off.
"Positive expectations do not persist in and of themselves — they have to be fed something," Kivirähk commented on a live broadcast on ERR.ee. "The chairwoman is in Brussels, and working locally is Kristen Michal, who has gotten very angry. His appearances are only a slight degree off from those of [EKRE chairman] Mart Helme. And then Rein Lang appears from out of nowhere and starts amending laws in the Riigikogu. In other words, the face of the party has become quite unclear in a short amount of time."
Editor: Aili Vahtla