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Aggregate average party ratings: EKRE climbs to second place

Logos of the six largest political parties in Estonia.
Logos of the six largest political parties in Estonia. Source: ERR

The Reform Party increased its lead, while the Conservative People's Party (EKRE) overtook Center for second place. The ratings of the Social Democratic Party (SDE) and Isamaa are nearing the 5 percent election threshold, the aggregate average of results from three pollsters suggests.

Based on the February polls of Norstat Eesti, Turu-uuringute AS and Kantar Emor, the arithmetical aggregate average puts the ruling Reform Party on top with 30 percent, up 2 points from January and 4 points from December of last year. Forming Estonia's ruling coalition has benefited Reform's rating.

The opposition EKRE rose to second place in February with an aggregate average of 20 percent. It was 16 percent in January and 15 in December. This means that EKRE have managed to boost their rating despite being sent to the opposition.

The Center Party's three-poll average gives it third place in February on 18 percent, down from 20 percent in January and 21 percent in December.

Non-parliamentary Estonia 200 maintains a rating of 15 percent in February. The liberal party achieved its best ever aggregate average result of 18 percent in December last.

SDE managed 7 percent in February as its rating continues to fall. The opposition party managed 8 percent in January and 9 percent in December.

Aggregate average result for Isamaa fell to the election threshold of 5 percent in February.

The Estonian Greens managed a result of 2 percent and the Party for the Future 1 percent in February.

The Estonian news portal of ERR started publishing aggregated results of polls in August of last year following a proposal by pollsters. Considering possible statistical error margins, individual results of pollsters can differ by up to 3 percent.

Pollsters (Norstat, Turu-uuringute AS, Kantar Emor) also use different methodologies when interviewing respondents. Norstat mostly uses phone interviews but also adds an online panel. Turu-uuringute AS interviews half of respondents face to face and half online, half over the phone and half online from this year. Emor conducts its poll over the internet.


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Editor: Marcus Turovski

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