Party ratings: Reform retains lead over Center

Opposition party leaders Kaja Kallas (Reform) and Indrek Saar (SDE) at this year's Festival of Opinions in Paide.
Opposition party leaders Kaja Kallas (Reform) and Indrek Saar (SDE) at this year's Festival of Opinions in Paide. Source: Priit Mürk/ERR

Opposition Reform Party is 11.2 percentage points ahead of the coalition Center Party, according to a recent survey by pollsters Norstat, leaving the wide gap from previous weeks unchanged. However, support for the two opposition parties (Reform and SDE) remains lower than the three coalition parties (Center, EKRE and Isamaa).

Reform picked up 33.3 percent in the latest poll, conducted on behalf of  Study of Societal Issues  (MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut), compared with 22.1 percent for Center, and 16.5 percent of the Conservative People's Party of Estonia (EKRE).

No parties saw any major shift in ratings in the past week, Norstat says, though the trend for Reform seeing a continued growth, which began in late May, seems to have come to an end, Norstat says.

Non-parliamentary party Estonia 200, on 8.8 percent of support, remains ahead of the Social Democratic Party (SDE) on 8.4 percent, and Isamaa with 5.4 percent support.

44 percent of respondents favored the three coalition parties combined, compared with 41.7 percent for the two opposition parties.

Opposition parties were last ahead of the coalition parties in terms of support in February this year, Norstat says. The Center Party saw a rise in support during the coronavirus emergency situation which ran from March to May, only for this to wane after the emergency period was over, as Reform became resurgent.

Norstat claims a +/1 1.55 percent margin of error in its weekly surveys, which poll a little over 4,000 people of voting age, reflecting various socio-demographic groups.


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Editor: Andrew Whyte

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