Were Riigikogu elections to take place tomorrow, 30% of voters would vote for the opposition Reform Party. In March, in comparison, the party had the support of 27% of voters, and the party earned 28.9% of the vote in the 3 March Riigikogu election.

Second most popular was the Centre Party with 24% support, unchanged compared to March polls and slightly above the 23.1% support it earned in the election.

Placing third overall was EKRE, although support for the party had fallen significantly since March — down from 21% to 16%. EKRE earned 17.8% of the vote on 3 March.

Three more parties saw virtually identical support among voters this month — Isamaa with 9%, the Social Democratic Party (SDE) with 8% and the non-parliamentary Estonia 200 with 8% support. Last month, the three parties had 11%, 9% and 5% support, indicating that Isamaa had lost and Estonia 200 gained some support.

In the election, Isamaa earned 11.4%, SDE 9.8% and Estonia 4.4% of the vote, the last of which failed to meet the 5% election threshold and thus did not earn any seats in the Riigikogu.

The remaining parties polled well below the election threshold, with the Estonian Greens earning 2%, and the Richness of Life Party and the Free Party earning 1% support each.

The three parties making up the incoming government coalition — Centre, EKRE and Isamaa — had the combined support of 49% of voters, while the opposition, which will consist of Reform and the SDE, the support of 38% of voters. Thanks in large part to Estonia 200's results, non-parliamentary parties and independent candidates had the support of a total of 13% of those surveyed.

From 2-15 April, Turu-uuringute AS surveyed 1,000 people in their homes. According to the pollster, the margin of error does not exceed ±3.1% per 1,000 respondents. The results of the survey represent those respondents who expressed a political preference, making them comparable to the results of a Riigikogu election. 25% of those polled did not indicate a political preference.